Current status of 08 Prez Cans

Democrats

1. Senator Hillary Clinton. Exploratory committee. (Steady)

2. Senator Barack Obama. Announced. (Rising in polls and due to attention from Hollywood)

3. Ex-Senator John Edwards. Announced. (Falling)

4. Governor Bill Richardson. Exploratory committee. (Rising due to experience and positive reaction to his speeches)

5. Senator Joe Biden. Announced. (Falling as he campaigned in the past few weeks and received little attention)

6. Senator Chris Dodd. Announced. (Steady)

7. General Wesley Clark. Considering a run. (Falling due to zero campaign activity)

8. Congressman Dennis Kucinich. Announced. (Steady)

9. Reverand Al Sharpton. Considering a run. (Falling due to zero campaign activity)

10. Ex-Senator Mike Gravel. Announced. (Rising due to involvement in Democratic forums).

Republicans

1. Ex-Mayor Rudy Giuliani. Announced. (Rising after holding a large lead over McCain).

2. Senator John McCain. Announced. (Falling due to lowsy performance on Letterman, and monumentally stupid move of not speaking at CPAC. His victory in the SC straw poll may help him a little bit, but unlikely to change his downhill trend).

3. Ex-Governor Mitt Romney. Announced. (Falling due to YouTube videos of his flip-flops. Will he go down as the first YouTube casualty?)

4. Ex-Congressman Newt Gingrich. Considering a run. (Rising due to his continued strong polling and media visibility)

5. Congressman Duncan Hunter. Announced. (Rising due to SC straw poll and conservative credentials)

6. Senator Sam Brownback. Announced. (Falling due to amnesty position, lack of charisma, and opposition to Iraq strategy)

7. Ex-Governor Mike Huckabee. Exploratory committee. (Falling due to rise of Hunter, failure to gain traction)

8. Congressman Tom Tancredo. Exploratory committee. (Falling due to rise of Hunter, failure to gain traction)

9. Ex-Governor Tommy Thompson. Exploratory committee. (Falling due to rise of Hunter and Gilmore).

10. Ex-Governor Jim Gilmore. Exploratory committee. (Rising due to speech at CPAC, new web site)

11. Michael Savage. Considering a run. (Falling due to virtually no media coverage of his considering of a run).

12. Senator Chuck Hagel. Considering a run. (Steady)

12. Ex-Governor George Pataki. Considering a run. (Falling, unlikely to run).

In search of Western Democrats

Guy W. Farmer writes in the Nevada Appeal “as a registered Democrat who is thoroughly disillusioned with President Bush and the Republicans” and says he’s looking for a moderate Democrat to back for president in 2008 – someone like New Mexico Gov. Bill Richardson, who made an early campaign stop in Minden late last month.

Candidates Blog

I’ve admired Richardson ever since he was a bright young congressman while I was still serving in the U.S. Foreign Service. Knowledgeable about foreign affairs and a centrist on domestic policy, he reminds me of the Democratic senator I admired as I grew up in Seattle, Henry “Scoop” Jackson, who fought international communism as hard as he fought for compassionate social programs.

A foreign policy moderate, Richardson has had some success in the international arena. Most recently, as one of the few American politicians the North Koreans will meet with, he went there to urge that nation’s Communist leaders to give up their destabilizing nuclear weapons program.

As President Clinton’s United Nations ambassador, Richardson earned the respect of the international community and has served both Democratic and Republican presidents as an effective, low-key global trouble-shooter. Moreover, as Clinton’s Energy Secretary he dealt with western land and water issues, and understood Nevada’s implacable opposition to the proposed Yucca Mountain nuclear waste repository, which is on life support now that powerful Nevada Democrat Harry Reid is the Senate Majority Leader.

Although Richardson is Hispanic – the son of an American father and a Mexican mother – he doesn’t wear his ethnicity on his sleeve, and neither does another Democratic presidential candidate, African-American Sen. Barack Obama of Illinois. Wisely, they choose not to campaign as hyphenated Americans, and that’s a good thing.

More often than not, presidential candidates are elite Easterners who don’t connect with Western voters. Most of the 18 (!) politicians who have already announced for president are Easterners or Southerners who know little if anything about the West – people like Hillary Clinton, John Edwards and Rudy Giuliani, who probably couldn’t find Yucca Mountain on a map if their life depended on it. But Mrs. Clinton, Edwards, Obama and Richardson will know where Nevada is by next January when they’ll compete head-to-head in statewide Democratic caucuses sandwiched between the Iowa caucuses and the all-important New Hampshire primary.

Obama draws contrast with Clinton over Iraq war

Obama was not in the Senate at the time of the vote but said he opposed the war from the start. Now proposing a phased withdrawal of U.S. troops from Iraq to be completed by the end of March 2008, Obama told reporters he was uncertain how Clinton intended to end the conflict.

“I am not clear to how she would proceed at this point to wind down the war in a specific way,” Obama said when asked to evaluate Clinton’s Iraq stance.

“I have tried to consistently present a responsible course of action that recognizes our national security interests in the region but would allow us to start redeploying our troops.”

Clinton came under pressure again on Saturday during a campaign trip through New Hampshire to explain her 2002 Senate vote.

“Knowing what we know now, I would never have voted for it,” she said. “I gave him (President George W. Bush) the authority to send inspectors back in to determine the truth. I said this is not a vote to authorize preemptive war.”

Asked later if she was trying to “have it both ways” by calling for the war’s end after voting to authorize it, she said, “I do not believe that most of us who voted to give the president authority thought he would so misuse the authority we gave him.”

Obama, a first-term senator from Illinois, has quickly jumped into the top tier of a crowded Democratic presidential field along with Clinton and Edwards.

His early opposition to the increasingly unpopular war is a centerpiece of his stump speech, drawing big cheers on a two-day swing through the state that traditionally kicks off the presidential nominating fight.

He told Iowa crowds over weekend they should demand a clear plan on how to end the war from all the Democratic candidates.

‘I’m proud of the fact that I was against this war from the start, I thought it was a tragic mistake,” Obama told about 200 people who jammed an early morning house party in Iowa Falls. “But I’m also proud of the fact that over the last two years, as I’ve been opposed to the war, I’ve also tried to put forward a constructive plan for us to wind it down.”

Obama also had a sharp response for Australian Prime Minister John Howard, a Bush ally who said Obama’s proposals would create chaos in the Middle East.

Obama fires back at Australian PM

In a strongly worded foray into US politics, Mr Howard said an Obama victory in the presidential election would be disastrous for the war on terrorism.

“I think he’s wrong. I think that will just encourage those who want to completely destabilise and destroy Iraq, and create chaos and a victory for the terrorists to hang on and hope for an Obama victory,” Mr Howard said on Channel 9.

“If I were running al-Qaeda in Iraq, I would put a circle around March 2008 and be praying as many times as possible for a victory not only for Obama but also for the Democrats.”…

Mr Howard said the US could not win the Iraq war before March 2008, so an Obama victory would mean defeat for America.

“If America pulls out of Iraq in March 2008 it can only be in circumstances of defeat,” Mr Howard said. “There’s no way by March 2008, which is a little over a year from now, everything will have been stabilised so that America can get out.

Reuters reports that Barack Obama also had a sharp response for Australian Prime Minister John Howard, a Bush ally who said Obama’s proposals would create chaos in the Middle East.

“I think that will just encourage those who want to completely destabilize and destroy Iraq, and create chaos and a victory for the terrorists to hang on and hope for an Obama victory,” Howard said on Nine Network television.

Obama said it was “flattering” for a Bush ally to attack him the day after he formally launched his presidential bid but noted Australia had contributed 1,400 troops to the war compared to 140,000 U.S. troops.

“If he’s ginned up to fight the good fight in Iraq I would suggest that he calls up another 20,000 Australians and send them to Iraq,” he said. “Otherwise it’s just a bunch of empty rhetoric.”

FOX News Poll: Who’s Your Second Choice for 2008?

While New York Sen. Hillary Clinton remains the front-runner for the Democratic nomination, what would the race look like if — for whatever reason — she were no longer in the running? And without former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani in the nomination race, which fellow Republican would benefit most? To find out, a recent FOX News Poll on the 2008 presidential election asked voters not only about their top choice candidate, but also about who would be their second choice.

Democratic Primary Nomination

Overall, Sen. Clinton receives the backing of 43 percent of self-identified Democrats, compared with 15 percent for Illinois Sen. Barack Obama, 12 percent for former North Carolina Sen. John Edwards and 11 percent for former Vice President Al Gore. No other candidates reach double-digit support.

If Clinton were out of the running, the results show Obama would benefit the most, as his support increases by 15 percentage points — double his initial vote percentage. The support for Edwards and Gore also increases, with both capturing another 8 points without Clinton in the race.

“Most of the distribution is simply based on name recognition,” said Opinion Dynamics Chairman John Gorman. “Senator Clinton is one of the few candidates who has personal, strong support.”

Without Obama in the running, the only candidate who really benefits is Clinton. Her percent of the vote increases by 11 points, while Edwards and Gore each gain 2 points.


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Hillary Clinton, John McCain, Rudy Giuliani Lead NH 2008 Poll

Hillary Clinton is the early frontrunner among candidates in New Hampshire for the Democratic presidential nomination, and among Republicans, Arizona Sen. John McCain and former New York Mayor Rudy Giuliani are tied, according to a new Granite State poll.

Historically, the first primary in the nation, New Hampshire is seen as a bellwether for the nation’s presidential primaries and caucuses.

The poll, conducted by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center, interviewed 664 randomly selected New Hampshire likely primary voters by telephone between Thursday and Monday. Included in the sample were 353 likely 2008 Democratic voters and 311 likely 2008 Republican primary voters.

“Among likely Republican primary voters, Arizona Senator John McCain has consistently been the most popular, picking up where he left off in 2000,” the center said. But the latest results show Giuliani is now in “a dead heat with McCain.”

Smith said there is “some room for movement between now and the primary.”

“Giuliani and Obama are the wild cards – [they] could go up or plummet,” he said, noting that “McCain, Romney, Clinton and Edwards are all pretty seasoned.”

Smith said it “doesn’t look like there are any likely folks in the bottom tier who will bump up. Perhaps Newt, but he’s pretty unpopular among many Republicans.”

Clinton is scheduled to be in New Hampshire this weekend, and Obama will visit the state on Monday.

-Parts of this report were provided courtesy of CNSnews.com

Murdoch’s dream ticket for 08: Gingrich/Bloomberg?

Rupert Murdoch, , who controls global media conglomerate News Corp, wants Republican foreign policy hardliner Newt Gingrich to run for president next year, saying the former house Speaker would lend important gravitas to the campaign.

The News Corporation chairman and chief executive also wants (former Democrat) New York Mayor Michael Bloomberg to run, saying his brand of “clean and efficient government” would be good for the US.

But Mr Murdoch was ambiguous about Hillary Clinton, describing the New York senator and Democratic frontrunner as a “very intelligent, very considerable lady” but also “very calculating” and “divisive”.

His comments came during an interview with Business Week editor Steve Adler in New York. When Adler said he did not have a clear picture of how Mr Murdoch regarded Senator Clinton, the media baron said: “Nor do I.”

Pressed about a fundraising breakfast he hosted for her last year, Mr Murdoch said he did so on the advice of a colleague. He was not supporting the former first lady’s presidential bid but avoided giving an answer when asked if that could change.

Mr Murdoch said Mr Gingrich’s ideas would liven up the presidential race. “I think he would lift the debate,” he said. “He would make all the primaries a lot more serious.”

Murdoch also called Mr Bloomberg a “genuine public servant” and said he would poll well on the east and west coasts.

-Reported by David Nason, New York correspondent